bad news has become a daily routine for many of us. You hardly want to turn on the television and start to ignore the otherwise frequently visited news pages on the Internet. The corona pandemic has now been normal for over a year. If you remember how exactly a year ago the time from the beginning of mid-March to the end of April felt - endless. In May, many thought the worst was over.
Since the beginning of the year, many have been talking about the light at the end of the tunnel, but unfortunately this metaphor is already so worn that some people wonder whether this light at the end of the tunnel is not an oncoming train.
I was always optimistic myself. I am also still optimistic, but I no longer link this optimism to predictions of times. In the past year I kept thinking that the old normal would begin at a certain point in the future.
Even if you do not wish to return to all parts of this old reality - the corona pandemic has triggered some overdue developments - it is the many small freedoms that I still sorely lack.
The numbers of newly infected people go back in the entire Canary Islands
Now my optimism is finally getting a few numbers that confirm my positive attitude towards the coming weeks and months.
The number of newly infected with the corona virus per 100,000 people within 7 days has been falling in the Canary Islands for a few weeks.
In Fuerteventura, this decrease is now so marked that the incidence is below 10. These are values that you rarely see on the European mainland.
Even on the most populous island in the Canary Islands, Gran Canaria, the incidence of 35 is well below the critical limit of 50.
The incidence of the entire Canary Islands is also below 50.
Whether the numbers in the Canary Islands are declining because the hygiene measures are more effective here, the residents adhere to the measures more conscientiously or the location as an archipelago, the sparse settlement and the good weather - cannot be explained in a few words also a lot of leeway for individual interpretation.
We are all pleased with the result, and it begs the legitimate question:
When will the travel warning be lifted?
The German Foreign Office always assesses the classification as a risk area according to whether they manifest good (i.e. low) or bad numbers for a longer period of time. This means that if the number of new infections in the next 2 weeks always remains well below 50 new infections per 100,000 inhabitants in 7 days, it is very likely that Germany will lift the travel warning for the Canaries. Other countries, such as Switzerland or Austria, proceed in a similar manner.
The positive trend of the low number of infected people in the Canary Islands has been going on for over a week. It is therefore quite possible that the German travel warning will be lifted in mid-May. This means that there is no need to quarantine after returning from vacation.
The number of people newly infected with the corona virus in Fuerteventura is lower than it has been in months. This positive trend can also be seen on the other islands of the Canary Islands. It is quite possible that not only Germany but also other countries will withdraw their travel warning for the Canaries in mid-May.